Comfort Food Monitor:
Lays Potato Chips
Los Angeles- John Fund, an editor at the Wall Street Journal, stepped boldly foward with predictions today that may give Hedgehogs a reason to live until more results are available:
WALL STREET JOURNAL/JOHN FUND PREDICTIONS
Popular vote: Bush 50.0%, Kerry 48.5%, Nader 1.0%, others 0.5%.
Electoral vote: Bush 296, Kerry 242.
Battleground states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Missouri, Nevada, New Mexico, Ohio and Wisconsin for Bush;
Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania for Kerry.
The polls are pretty consistent. Mr. Bush is at 48% or above in all of them that push leaners. Now that Zogby has reported a tied race on Monday night, no national poll of consequence has Mr. Kerry in the lead. (Marist has him up 49% to 48%, but it would be historic if Marist were the only pollster to call the election correctly.) More than half have the race in a tie, and a couple have Bush in front by a few. I would normally give the race to Mr. Bush by three points, but I forecast a slightly tighter race because the few undecided votes are likely to break in Mr. Kerry's direction since they have resisted going with the incumbent for so long.
Sonja Eddings Brown