Tuesday, October 18, 2005

Just How Widespread Is Conservative Opposition to Miers?

According to this survey by Survey USA:

  • 43% of Republicans have a favorable impression of Harriet Miers; 12% have an unfavorable impression. 43% have no impression yet.

  • 44% of conservatives have a favorable impression; again, 12% unfavorable.

  • Moderates and liberals tend to have a much less favorable view of Miers.
Study the numbers and tell me what you think. What I draw from this is that the storm of opposition to Miers is coming from a small minority of Bush's base. Even so, the GOP cannot afford for those people to stay home on election day 2006 over this. For them to do so would be foolhardy, but that doesn't mean they won't do it. I hope they don't.

UPDATE: More on this in the post immediately above.

(HT: Real Clear Politics.)


Anonymous BlueBuffoon said...

I saw the same survey earlier and was initially bouyed up to see the results. After thinking about it, however, I'm afraid I'm not as convinced as you that this can be read as much of a barometer of how conservatives feel about nomination  itself. I will readily admit that I tend to be a glass-half-empty kind of a personality, unfortunately.

The survey only asks about the impression of Ms. Miers herself--not as a nominee to the Supreme Court. The other survey noted at the same page asked about whether she will be confirmed (not whether she ought to be, let alone should have been nominated by the President). Republicans and conservatives may well have a favorable impression of Miers--for any number of reasons, including loyalty and valiant service to the President, standing up to the powerful controlling interests groups on their pro-abortion position, her background (both personal and legal career), etc., without really being convinced that she was/is a good choice for the U.S. Supreme Court. Conservatives I talk to, both in the law and out of it, all express some deep misgivings over this nomination, even when they are willing to give the President the benefit of the doubt. I've not personally met any who don't feel, to some extent at least, that the President let down the "base" at a time that it's not clear why he had to. The more the administration talks, the worse it seems to get. Is there any chance the administration could dump some its spokesgeeks and hire Hugh Hewitt? Hugh seems to be one of the few who seems to be able to make competent distinctions among arguments in support that make sense and those that come across as nothing more than simplistic, condescending or even irrelevant. (This problem for this administration is not limited to this particular issue, either, I'm sorry to say!)

That being said, I'm very weary of the not-so-civil war among conservatives and the administration over this. This too, in my opinion, was very foreseeable--and not well-anticipated or planned for by the people in charge.  

Posted by BlueBuffoon

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 3:50:00 PM  
Blogger Jeremy said...

I have a "favorable impression" of Harriet Miers. I oppose her nomination to the Supreme Court. As to conservatives staying home, I think it's a very real possibility.

Conservatives are demoralized, I'm sorry to say.

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 8:42:00 PM  
Blogger The Hedgehog said...

Jeremy, I think it's a stretch to interpret the numbers that way, bt that's why America is a great country-- we get to disagree.

No doubt some conservatives are demoralized. I was demoralized myself, and I wish Bush has picked someone else. But to stay home on election day over this is simply childish.  

Posted by The Hedgehog

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 10:19:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

This RANT over Ms. Miers is enough to drive a sane
person to drink (LOTS)...Do the hearings and have
an up or down vote, if she makes the grade then get
on with, it if not try again...If our friends in
Washington don't get a handle on the Energy problem
this winter the conservitves running this Miers
deal will be on the outside looking in and
wondering what the hell went wrong in o6...And if
they still dont't get it, WELL BOYS WELCOME TO THE
DARKSIDE IN O8 your going to have slick willie as
the FIRST MAN...  

Posted by saltydogg2u

Wednesday, October 19, 2005 12:40:00 PM  

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